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CS2PGL Masters · Group Stage · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Natus Vincere

FURIA0-2Natus Vincere

PGL Masters · Group Stage· Oct 25, 2026 · 15:45–17:38 UTC· 1h 53m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.9M
Trades
7,830
Significant
109 ≥ $3,200
Low · high
0.1¢ → 67¢
Price path · full matchYES = FURIA · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · Natus VincereG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 17:32$114.0K YES · lllllllIlll$31.5K YES · juice-fruit$26.3K YES · HMLSF$25.2K NO · Wiretransferxyz$25.2K NO · WARNINGWARNINGWARNING$20.3K NO · tankfest2027SMART87%45% Natus Vincere15:4517:38 resolved
smart consensus 13% → 55% YES
G1Natus Vincere59¢ → 37¢$266.9K
G2Natus Vincere37¢ → 0.1¢$168.0K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first9
WALL EATEN57¢ · $143.4K ask wall gone in 29s$83.9K eaten · $52.5K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale+29 more on the same level· 26% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· lllllllIlll $77.6K· JustADonk $4.6K· VitalityFan $1.7K· +1 more· 39 fills
WALL EATEN37¢ · $43.9K bid wall gone in 37s$25.9K eaten · $7.0K pulled · $11.0K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:VPenguin+19 more on the same level· 23% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· WARNINGWARNINGWARNING $14.9K· Wiretransferxyz $10.8K· +4 more· 27 fills
WALL EATEN38¢ · $32.6K ask wall gone in 21s$17.8K eaten · $14.9K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:sssasp+1 more on the same level· 76% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· juice-fruit $17.8K· +1 more· 4 fills
WALL EATEN58¢ · $29.5K bid wall gone instantly$26.3K eaten · $3.2K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:lllllllIlllwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· HMLSF $26.3K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN38¢ · $17.1K ask wall gone in 82s$7.6K eaten · $4.7K pulled · $4.8K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:WARNINGWARNINGWARNINGwhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· RN1 $5.3K· 0x6a3f…6799 $1.0K· papaebal $649· +8 more· 23 fills
WALL EATEN37¢ · $14.4K ask wall gone in 18s$7.3K eaten · $4.6K pulled · $2.5K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:papaebal+2 more on the same level· 60% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x6a3f…6799 $7.3K· +2 more· 7 fills
Who entered before the reversalNatus Vincere last traded ≤ 40¢ at G1 · 42:36 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L22 wallets
1ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$3.1K
$4.8K at 57¢· G1 · 32:12· win rate 47.0%
2RN10x2005…75eawhale+$2.9K
$9.4K at 54¢· G1 · 35:04· win rate 51.8%
3forsenxd0x0286…f61dretail+$2.0K
$1.3K at 40¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 52.6%
4cigarettes0xd218…b5c9retail+$1.9K
$1.3K at 41¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 58.8%
5alpheclabs20x7263…0851retail+$1.3K
$834 at 40¢· pre-match · 2m before· win rate 46.3%
6Autob10x52ca…2f11retail+$1.2K
$1.4K at 51¢· G1 · 31:06· win rate 52.8%
7Neat-Robot0xa3c2…df3dbot+$279
$2.9K at 67¢· G1 · 00:36· win rate 57.6%
8TommyLeePeeca0x0063…2dd2smart+$223
$5.2K at 68¢· G1 · 00:36· win rate 66.8%
9Black-Facility0x51db…f9b3bot+$188
$2.5K at 67¢· G1 · 00:36· win rate 52.8%
10pnhct0x9f63…9551retail+$174
$8.3K at 63¢· G1 · 00:36· win rate 55.9%
Reversal = last time Natus Vincere traded ≤ 40¢ (G1 · 42:36). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 217 wallets
Top winners
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6ewhale+$28.5K
liriks0x5146…c84bsmart+$26.6K
sssasp0x997c…51f3retail+$17.1K
Gooooooollllllllll0xda3a…381fretail+$11.4K
TheVeteran770x6304…e570retail+$8.1K
Top losers
0xb208…c095whale−$16.1K
ZANOVO0x839c…dcc6retail−$13.3K
LlamaEnjoyer0x9b97…5e12whalefarmer−$6.3K
suzmie0x4097…9397retail−$3.4K
mou19990xe820…5c2cretail−$3.2K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Grand-Access, ameisgoat11, aaaa298, baba888 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution104 wallets
45%NO Natus Vincere · the winner· from 87% at match start
YES capital
$455.9K
NO capital
$535.8K
Hedged
$85.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 109 TRADES ≥ $3,200 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770$114.0K
YES57¢series15:44:33whale
win rate 55.6%lifetime +$9.5K
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747$31.5K
YES38¢series16:43:38smartwhale
win rate 62.3%lifetime +$1.19M
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$26.3K
sell YES58¢series15:48:09whale
win rate 49.2%lifetime +$1.54M
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3b$25.2K
NO63¢series16:45:03retail
win rate 54.6%lifetime +$885.9K
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING0x5e6e…be00$25.2K
NO63¢series16:44:42retail
win rate 48.7%lifetime +$268.5K
tankfest20270x4d6e…5cfd$20.3K
NO62¢series16:52:36retail
win rate 49.5%lifetime +$15.1K
liriks0x5146…c84b$19.4K
NO43¢series15:44:33smart
win rate 76.2%lifetime +$5.8K
Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563$16.1K
NO77¢series17:02:33whale
win rate 54.3%lifetime +$4.74M
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Match markets24 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage0¢ / 100¢$1.1Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$424.7Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$327.2Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$11.6Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$3.4Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$9.7Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$315closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5— / —$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$345closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$29closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs FURIA (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-9.5) vs FURIA (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$621closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs FURIA (+6.5)— / —$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-9.5) vs FURIA (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$122closed
FURIA 0-2 Natus Vincere · PGL Masters · match recap | OrcaLayer