CS2IEM · Group A · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · FURIA

FURIA2-1Natus Vincere

IEM · Group A· Nov 3, 2026 · 10:15–13:39 UTC· 3h 24m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$3.5M
Trades
16,262
Significant
108 ≥ $2,256
Low · high
8¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = FURIA · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢G1 · Natus VincereG1G2 · FURIAG2G3 · FURIAG38¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 13:35$51.5K YES · lonmi2511$50.0K NO · fantasy7788$40.3K NO · omnibus-076daa$36.1K YES · NS13$32.4K YES · Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl$20.0K NO · Stable-ArmamentSMART97%81% FURIA10:1513:39 resolved
smart consensus leaned FURIA from 10:03 at 54¢ · 98% → 81%
G1Natus Vincere60¢ → 32¢$256.7K
G2FURIA32¢ → 52¢$362.6K
G3FURIA52¢ → 99.9¢—
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first17
WALL EATEN53¢ · $120.0K bid wall gone instantly$67.0K eaten · $53.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Lakersfan111whale+14 more on the same level· 33% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $67.0K· 15 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $82.2K ask wall gone instantly$45.8K eaten · $31.0K pulled · $5.3K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:4217893367451whale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x549b…c0ae $45.8K· 1 fill
WALL EATEN56¢ · $63.6K ask wall gone in 3s$41.0K eaten · $22.6K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Substantial-Servicehedger· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· sssasp $40.5K· +3 more· 4 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $40.8K bid wall gone in 24s$21.8K eaten · $19.0K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:Dual-Criticismwhale+2 more on the same level· 99% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· fantasy7788 $21.1K· bananazoo $700· 4 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $39.5K ask wall gone in 32s$27.1K eaten · $5.9K pulled · $6.6K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:4217893367451whale+6 more on the same level· 96% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 0x549b…c0ae $27.0K· +1 more· 9 fills
WALL EATEN32¢ · $38.7K ask wall gone instantly$34.2K eaten · $4.4K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:ArturitoFilitowhale· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· NS13 $34.2K· 1 fill
Who entered before the reversalFURIA last traded ≤ 40¢ at G3 · 51:23 · size and avg entry = whole position on the winner · sorted by realized P&L51 wallets
1ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$9.8K
$15.1K at 45¢· G1 · 22:33· win rate 46.9%
2calculate100xb35f…cf4cretail+$3.5K
$8.3K at 49¢· G1 · 55:16· win rate 54.5%
3Substantial-Service0x2c33…0563whale+$2.6K
$11.9K at 33¢· G2 · 04:02· win rate 54.6%
4Flaky-Integer0x6e2c…787csmartwhale+$2.2K
$51.4K at 45¢· G1 · 30:22· win rate 62.8%
5moopsy0x40b9…b002retail+$1.5K
$1.6K at 30¢· G2 · 04:11· win rate 62.8%
6nat080x21b7…c861retail+$1.1K
$850 at 43¢· G1 · 19:15· win rate 35.4%
7alpheclabs20x7263…0851retail+$1.1K
$1.2K at 51¢· G3 · 13:53· win rate 47.5%
8topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95retail+$1.1K
$623 at 33¢· G1 · 58:43· win rate 40.2%
9pnhkyb0xd2bb…bd8esmart+$1.1K
$35.2K at 44¢· G1 · 45:54· win rate 58.1%
10shtnmachine0xcc2a…9563retail+$1.0K
$391 at 28¢· G2 · 04:11· win rate 50.4%
Reversal = last time FURIA traded ≤ 40¢ (G3 · 51:23). Entered = the first fill at that price; size and average entry cover the whole position on the winner, from $100. Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 357 wallets
Top winners
jakepaulthegoat20080x6ac5…4b6ewhale+$20.0K
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3bretail+$19.8K
drainedandpoor0x5e6e…be00retail+$18.8K
Dual-Criticism0xbc43…96d3whale+$18.4K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale+$9.8K
Top losers
42178933674510xb208…c095whale−$93.9K
Uniform1230xe548…a9feretail−$20.4K
saintaphextwin0xb10b…0b04retail−$11.9K
ArturitoFilito0x336b…1233whale−$10.3K
ShadowRealms0x9e07…6e49retail−$4.6K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): NS13, RITALINEWITHSNUS, yishiwucheng, fantasy7788 +4
Smart consensus · at resolution133 wallets
81%YES FURIA · the winner· from 98% at match start
YES capital
$1.07M
NO capital
$1.23M
Hedged
$136.2K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 108 TRADES ≥ $2,256 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
fantasy77880x0259…769e$86.9K
NO47¢series09:59:16whale
win rate 41.0%lifetime +$314.9K
YES54¢series10:01:29whale
win rate 54.5%lifetime −$502.5K
lonmi25110x997c…51f3$51.5K
YES56¢series10:12:31whale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$3.6K
fantasy77880x0259…769e$50.0K
NO71¢series11:22:07whale
win rate 41.0%lifetime +$314.9K
omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c$40.3K
NO69¢series11:21:52hedgerwhale
win rate 49.9%lifetime +$5.20M
NS130x1610…ae49$36.1K
YES32¢series11:20:01hedgerwhale
win rate 50.0%lifetime +$1.81M
YES54¢series10:07:31whale
win rate 54.5%lifetime −$502.5K
Stable-Armament0xf559…f462$20.0K
NO48¢series12:38:08whale
win rate 54.7%lifetime −$788.2K
More from this tournamentIEM Beijing 2026 →
Match markets31 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A100¢ / 0¢$2.3Mclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$427.4Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$661.5Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.5100¢ / 0¢$12.6Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$2.4Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$20.7Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$1.0Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100¢ / 0¢$54closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$101closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.51¢ / 100¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5— / —$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$310closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$262closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)18¢ / 82¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs FURIA (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-9.5) vs FURIA (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$190closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Natus Vincere (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$3.7Kclosedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs FURIA (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-9.5) vs FURIA (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closed
FURIA 2-1 Natus Vincere · IEM · match recap | OrcaLayer