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CS2Thunderpick World Championship · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · FURIA

FURIA2-0Aurora Gaming

Thunderpick World Championship · Playoffs· Oct 17, 2026 · 14:00–15:57 UTC· 1h 57m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.9M
Trades
9,789
Significant
80 ≥ $2,658
Low · high
43¢ → 99.9¢
Price path · full matchYES = FURIA · 1-min VWAP · rings = 3 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
50¢75¢100¢G1 · FURIAG1G2 · FURIAG243¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 95¢ at 15:33$8.9K NO · Acceptable-Fishbone$7.4K YES · Afraid-Ectodermal-Hop$7.3K NO · madkkeeSMART54%61% FURIA14:0015:57 resolved
smart consensus leaned FURIA from G1 at 57¢ · 54% → 61%
G1FURIA54¢ → 79¢$229.9K
G2FURIA79¢ → 96¢$349.5K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first5
WALL EATEN53¢ · $63.1K ask wall gone instantly$31.8K eaten · $31.3K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:tyoprkgsmart+19 more on the same level· 30% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Dragon-Evolution $31.8K· 21 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $17.3K bid wall gone in 42s$13.8K eaten · $3.5K pulledseries
Maker revealed by fills:para-Visionsmart+1 more on the same level· 100% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Lakersfan111 $13.3K· heypol1 $391· +3 more· 7 fills
WALL EATEN96¢ · $13.1K bid wall gone in 52s$4.7K eaten · $5.1K pulled · $3.3K still theremap 1
Maker revealed by fills:pnhkybhedger+9 more on the same level· 52% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· redvinny $3.1K· RewardFarmilka $1.2K· +5 more· 22 fills
WALL EATEN54¢ · $11.0K ask wall gone in 21s$5.8K eaten · $2.9K pulled · $2.4K still thereseries
Maker revealed by fills:Grand-Access+11 more on the same level· 40% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· 1337zzz1337 $4.3K· para-Vision $1.5K· +1 more· 14 fills
WALL EATEN89¢ · $10.1K bid wall gone in 44s$3.2K eaten · $4.6K pulled · $2.3K still theremap 2
Maker revealed by fills:pnhkybhedger+7 more on the same level· 38% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· redvinny $2.9K· lomatic $126· +5 more· 19 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst FURIA buy ≥ $1K · by time25 wallets
11x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9retail−$29
$2.7K at 76¢· pre-match · 19h 30m before· win rate 18.5%
2a55330x758d…5d9ebot−$232
$2.9K at 77¢· pre-match · 19h 30m before· win rate 35.9%
3Rayaya0x9b96…4389retail+$1.9K
$2.1K at 53¢· pre-match · 17h 26m before· win rate 60.9%
4antec0x8935…7daaretail+$983
$6.5K at 66¢· pre-match · 17h 16m before· win rate 50.6%
5dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale+$2.4K
$2.7K at 53¢· pre-match · 16h 44m before· win rate 64.1%
6Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3bretail+$12.0K
$13.0K at 52¢· pre-match · 4h 11m before· win rate 54.7%
7coolz1220xbdd2…6657retail+$2.7K
$2.9K at 52¢· pre-match · 2h 2m before· win rate 51.4%
8Gooooooollllllllll0xda3a…381fretail+$12.0K
$13.0K at 52¢· pre-match · 2h 2m before· win rate 52.1%
9AnibalAugustoSardinha0x9609…a48dsmart+$5.3K
$5.8K at 52¢· pre-match · 2h 2m before· win rate 55.0%
100xd2d2…75abretail+$630
$1.1K at 54¢· pre-match · 14m before· win rate 66.6%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 212 wallets
Top winners
Wiretransferxyz0x30c7…ac3bretail+$12.0K
Gooooooollllllllll0xda3a…381fretail+$12.0K
AnibalAugustoSardinha0x9609…a48dsmart+$5.3K
coolz1220xbdd2…6657retail+$2.7K
dsasdaas0x1e52…eb43smartwhale+$2.4K
Top losers
depresssin0xcc77…c035smartwhale−$37.6K
tyoprkg0x1f4b…5345smart−$9.4K
ShadowRealms0x9e07…6e49smart−$7.0K
ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart−$4.7K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$4.0K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, ameisgoat11, Dragon-Evolution, Favorable-Pepper-Brushing +4
Smart consensus · at resolution135 wallets
61%YES FURIA · the winner· from 54% at match start
YES capital
$489.6K
NO capital
$304.0K
Hedged
$219.5K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 80 TRADES ≥ $2,658 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Dragon-Evolution0x3eb3…6a2a$36.1K
YES53¢series13:39:48smartwhale
win rate 77.8%lifetime +$365.6K
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a$21.1K
YES54¢series13:48:13whale
win rate 40.5%lifetime −$10.2K
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e$14.3K
NO46¢series13:46:30whale
win rate 50.1%lifetime +$1.98M
qiu30x7f73…14f1$12.2K
YES59¢map 214:52:26smartwhale
win rate 63.6%lifetime +$142.8K
tyoprkg0x1f4b…5345$9.4K
NO47¢series13:39:48smart
win rate 66.3%lifetime +$15.9K
Grand-Access0x4468…b165$9.4K
NO47¢series13:39:48smart
win rate 55.5%lifetime +$139.1K
Acceptable-Fishbone0x7767…4fb2$8.9K
NO54¢series14:08:56retail
win rate 54.7%lifetime −$88.7K
suleng660x4f0e…0200$7.9K
YES53¢series13:04:32smart
win rate 64.4%lifetime +$46.6K
More from this tournamentThunderpick World Championship 2026 →
Playoffs · Oct 17, 2026
Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team
LIVE 0-0$2.65M
Group B · Oct 16, 2026
Legacy vs BetBoom Team
BB 1-2$3.03M
Group A · Oct 16, 2026
Aurora Gaming vs 9z
AUR 2-0$1.38M
Group B · Oct 15, 2026
Legacy vs FURIA
FURIA 1-2$2.85M
Match markets26 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs100¢ / 0¢$825.6Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner100¢ / 0¢$383.2Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner100¢ / 0¢$634.4Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$28.8Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$12.7Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)0¢ / 100¢$11closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50¢ / 100¢$987closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$1.9Kclosedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$478closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$264closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs FURIA (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-9.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)0¢ / 100¢$242closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)0¢ / 100¢$28closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-9.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$13closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$422closed