CS2ESL Pro League · Playoffs · BO3View on Polymarket RESOLVED · Aurora Gaming

1WIN0-2Aurora Gaming

ESL Pro League · Playoffs· Oct 9, 2026 · 08:30–10:35 UTC· 2h 05m· VOD on twitch
Volume
$1.5M
Trades
6,657
Significant
90 ≥ $3,450
Low · high
0.1¢ → 34¢
Price path · full matchYES = 1WIN · 1-min VWAP · rings = 6 largest significant trades, one per wallet · tap a ringshaded beyond 5–95¢ = market priced as decided
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢G1 · Aurora GamingG1G2 · Aurora GamingG20¢ lowmarket priced as decided · 5¢ at 09:48$31.0K NO · Xyp9xFan$17.8K NO · FeedTheBigBird$16.6K NO · suntori$9.0K NO · Grand-Access$6.0K YES · fkigedgjdgwbg$5.0K NO · RevengeRangeSMART84%89% Aurora Gaming08:3010:35 resolved
smart consensus leaned AUR from G1 at 71¢ · 84% → 89%
G1Aurora Gaming33¢ → 12¢$234.0K
G2Aurora Gaming12¢ → 0.1¢$169.0K
Walls eatena resting order of $10K+ taken out in under 90 s · the maker is revealed by the fills that hit it · largest first2
WALL EATEN41¢ · $15.7K bid wall gone instantly$9.4K eaten · $6.1K pulledhandicap
Maker revealed by fills:RevengeRangesmart+3 more on the same level· 44% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· BrotherObama $9.4K· +1 more· 5 fills
WALL EATEN99.9¢ · $11.2K bid wall gone instantly$6.2K eaten · $4.3K pulled · $701 still therernd hcp 2
Maker revealed by fills:lIllIlllIlIlfarmer+4 more on the same level· 41% of the wall was theirs
TAKERS· Zenhack $6.2K· 5 fills
Earliest big buyersfirst Aurora Gaming buy ≥ $1K · by time21 wallets
1vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$3.0K
$6.5K at 68¢· pre-match · 1d 3h before· win rate 52.6%
2WARNINGWARNINGWARNING0x5e6e…be00whale+$914
$1.9K at 68¢· pre-match · 1d 2h before· win rate 48.5%
3Stickman220xb9ab…f282retail+$1.2K
$2.8K at 70¢· pre-match · 13h 35m before· win rate 52.2%
4equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail+$3.0K
$7.0K at 70¢· pre-match · 8h 45m before· win rate 53.8%
5deron0xae2b…9cc3retail+$2.1K
$4.9K at 70¢· pre-match · 1h 20m before· win rate 54.6%
6BlessedKaladin0x7645…3117retail+$1.2K
$2.8K at 70¢· pre-match · 1h 4m before· win rate 49.4%
7RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$4.5K
$10.5K at 70¢· pre-match · 46m before· win rate 60.0%
8ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart+$3.0K
$7.0K at 70¢· pre-match · 4m before· win rate 63.2%
9Intentional-Cane-Flow0x04fb…5968retail+$1.2K
$2.8K at 70¢· pre-match· win rate 51.9%
10BadNewsBears0x182d…73e9retail+$1.2K
$2.8K at 70¢· pre-match· win rate 43.9%
Realized P&L at resolution · from on-chain fills · past performance does not guarantee future results
Match leadersrealized P&L · this market · 205 wallets
Top winners
RevengeRange0xafd4…7e61smart+$4.5K
vibing1230x6b97…8d30retail+$3.0K
ojgtubvdt0x60e3…57b5smart+$3.0K
equalsignificance0x1037…5b09retail+$3.0K
deron0xae2b…9cc3retail+$2.1K
Top losers
astapzippo0x66b1…340fretail−$4.9K
0xbb29…947aretail−$4.0K
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319whale−$3.4K
forget40x67b6…00bcretail−$2.3K
Lucky-Invader0xa9c4…7433retail−$2.1K
mm / minter (sold more shares than bought — cost outside the book, no P&L shown): Flaky-Integer, 0x3eb3…6a2a, Stable-Armament, yishiwucheng +4
Smart consensus · at resolution195 wallets
89%NO Aurora Gaming · the winner· from 84% at match start
YES capital
$133.4K
NO capital
$406.3K
Hedged
$135.0K
Significant ordersFULL MATCH · 90 TRADES ≥ $3,450 · FLOOR $500 · LARGEST FIRST
Xyp9xFan0x2418…66c8$31.0K
NO71¢series08:29:52smart
win rate 55.2%lifetime +$65.2K
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998$20.0K
NO59¢handicap08:16:15whale
win rate 41.2%lifetime +$720.8K
FeedTheBigBird0x84ec…72c1$17.8K
NO71¢series08:21:56smart
win rate 60.0%lifetime +$20.5K
suntori0xe907…cff6$16.6K
NO71¢series08:29:31hedgerwhale
win rate 41.4%lifetime −$7.49M
467j6yj0xd487…053e$11.5K
NO83¢map 109:08:19farmer
win rate 97.3%lifetime +$128.4K
Grand-Access0x4468…b165$9.0K
NO70¢series08:23:31smart
win rate 62.0%lifetime +$123.3K
HMLSF0x1610…ae49$8.5K
NO71¢series08:17:26whale
win rate 49.0%lifetime +$1.18M
Satanishippie0x89eb…cff9$7.0K
NO71¢series08:11:19retail
win rate 48.0%lifetime −$15.3K
More from this tournamentESL Pro League 2026 →
Match markets22 MARKETS · CLICK FOR WALLETS AND POSITIONS
seriesCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs0¢ / 100¢$646.5Kclosedmap 1Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner0¢ / 100¢$443.6Kclosedmap 2Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner0¢ / 100¢$347.5Kclosedseries totalGames Total: O/U 2.50¢ / 100¢$5.1Kclosedseries handicapMap Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)100¢ / 0¢$134.4Kclosedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100¢ / 0¢$123closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round total 3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$291closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)100¢ / 0¢$36.6Kclosedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-12.5) vs 1WIN (+12.5)50¢ / 50¢$0closedmap round handicap 3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)50¢ / 50¢$6closed
1WIN 0-2 Aurora Gaming · ESL Pro League · match recap | OrcaLayer