OopsTap · Polymarket wallet 0xff8f…682e

Wallet snapshot

OopsTap has made 75 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and sports (31%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 61.1%, lifetime P&L +$283. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $5 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No · $2 · 97¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31?Yes · -$1 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes · +$3 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?Yes · -$36 · Aug 6, 2026
• US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Yes · $0 · Jul 30, 2026
• Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceYes · +$2 · Jul 4, 2026
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Jul 3, 2026
• Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Yes · +$985 · Jun 8, 2026
• UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes · $0 · Jun 8, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?Yes · $0 · Jun 7, 2026
• Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No · $0 · May 17, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.