Polymarket wallet 0xfe45…c5ed

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xfe45…c5ed has made 225 trades on Polymarket across 218 markets, $259 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (9%). On 209 resolved markets the win rate is 59.3%, lifetime P&L +$17. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will OpenRouter process between 210T and 220T tokens the week of November 9?". Last trade: Nov 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenRouter process between 210T and 220T tokens the week of November 9?Yes · $2 · 52¢ → 97¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?Yes · $1 · 26¢ → 36¢
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?No · $1 · 79¢ → 97¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 60¢ → 60¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No · $1 · 74¢ → 71¢
• Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $1 · 23¢ → 19¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 14, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 13?Yes · -$1 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 12?Yes · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.