Variable-Accommodation · Polymarket wallet 0xfd99…697c

Wallet snapshot

Variable-Accommodation has made 135 trades on Polymarket across 79 markets, $256 in volume. Most of it is in sports (47%) and politics (18%). On 67 resolved markets the win rate is 58.2%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: May 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 38¢ → 49¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $1 · 52¢ → 62¢

Latest closed positions

• Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes · -$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes · -$0 · Jun 24, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes · +$2 · Jun 24, 2026
• Rockets vs. LakersNo · +$1 · Jun 24, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jun 18, 2026
• Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes · +$0 · May 31, 2026
• Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes · +$0 · May 17, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes · -$0 · May 12, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes · +$0 · May 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.