MTD · Polymarket wallet 0xfd39…109d

Wallet snapshot

MTD has made 10,023 trades on Polymarket across 416 markets, $2.7M in volume. Most of it is in sports (47%) and politics (22%). On 367 resolved markets the win rate is 65.7%, lifetime P&L +$37K. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2,886 · 4¢ → 9¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes · $1,061 · 73¢ → 19¢
• Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes · $394 · 78¢ → 18¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · $45 · 25¢ → 23¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes · $13 · 6¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes · -$11 · Aug 17, 2026
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · -$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · -$230 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$2 · Jul 15, 2026
• Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes · +$9 · Jul 9, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETNo · -$5 · Jul 2, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.