Desiato · Polymarket wallet 0xf931…12ee

Wallet snapshot

Desiato has made 107 trades on Polymarket across 48 markets, $6,799 in volume. Most of it is in politics (54%) and crypto (19%). On 47 resolved markets the win rate is 55.3%, lifetime P&L +$362. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No · $463 · 71¢ → 95¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes · $27 · 16¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No · +$5 · Sep 10, 2025
• Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No · +$7 · Jul 3, 2025
• Jumper airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes · -$25 · Apr 28, 2025
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?No · +$35 · Feb 25, 2025
• Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?No · +$13 · Feb 20, 2025
• Will Biden finish his term?Yes · +$17 · Jan 13, 2025
• Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?No · -$50 · Jan 7, 2025
• Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No · -$150 · Jan 7, 2025
• Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes · +$211 · Jan 7, 2025
• Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes · +$11 · Jan 7, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.