Polymarket wallet 0xf89c…f5d9

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xf89c…f5d9 has made 121 trades on Polymarket across 118 markets, $121 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (16%) and crypto (10%). On 110 resolved markets the win rate is 57.3%, lifetime P&L +$16. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?". Last trade: Nov 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · $1 · 24¢ → 30¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?No · $1 · 76¢ → 90¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 55¢ → 60¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?Yes · $1 · 36¢ → 37¢
• Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?No · $1 · 79¢ → 78¢
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?No · $1 · 78¢ → 72¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?No · $1 · 64¢ → 55¢
• Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $1 · 30¢ → 23¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 14, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 13?No · +$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 13?No · +$2 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?No · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.