arbby · Polymarket wallet 0xf80a…3d43

Wallet snapshot

arbby has made 56 trades on Polymarket across 37 markets, $3,305 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (32%) and crypto (16%). On 34 resolved markets the win rate is 70.6%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $49 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $28 · 24¢ → 14¢
• Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $10 · 99¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$0 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No · +$0 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No · +$0 · May 3, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 6, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 6, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No · +$0 · Apr 6, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.