Bowes · Polymarket wallet 0xf693…afd3

Wallet snapshot

Bowes has made 54 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and sports (42%). On 21 resolved markets the win rate is 61.9%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $5 · 83¢ → 84¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $2 · 97¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes · -$5 · Sep 1, 2026
• US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Jul 2, 2026
• Spread: Armenia (-2.5)No · +$33 · Jun 7, 2026
• Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?No · $0 · Jun 6, 2026
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Jun 4, 2026
• Grabher vs. Anisimova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5No · +$18 · May 29, 2026
• Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No · $0 · May 28, 2026
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes · $0 · May 26, 2026
• Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)No · +$29 · May 21, 2026
• US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No · $0 · May 20, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.