Understated-Causal · Polymarket wallet 0xf51b…41a4

Wallet snapshot

Understated-Causal has made 103 trades on Polymarket across 39 markets, $800 in volume. Most of it is in sports (63%) and politics (20%). On 35 resolved markets the win rate is 62.9%. It holds no open positions right now. Last trade: Jul 2, 2026.

Latest closed positions

• Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5No · +$1 · Jun 17, 2026
• Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Yes · +$5 · Jun 17, 2026
• Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Yes · +$6 · Jun 14, 2026
• Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Yes · +$4 · Mar 24, 2026
• Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)Yes · +$5 · Mar 20, 2026
• Lightning vs. KrakenYes · +$4 · Mar 18, 2026
• Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5No · +$5 · Mar 12, 2026
• No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Jan 29, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.