Polymarket wallet 0xf4e8…b0cd

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xf4e8…b0cd has made 116 trades on Polymarket across 90 markets, $185 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (16%) and crypto (14%). On 84 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 87¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No · $1 · 79¢ → 74¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 56¢ → 46¢
• Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · $1 · 35¢ → 28¢
• NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?No · $0 · 26¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?No · -$1 · Nov 11, 2026
• Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?No · +$3 · Nov 10, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Nov 9, 2026
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?No · +$2 · Nov 7, 2026
• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 7, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?Yes · -$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.