Polymarket wallet 0xf2dc…516f

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xf2dc…516f has made 483 trades on Polymarket across 201 markets, $864 in volume. Most of it is in sports (32%) and geopolitics (24%). On 189 resolved markets the win rate is 58.7%, lifetime P&L +$17. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?". Last trade: May 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Yes · $13 · 93¢ → 94¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes · $8 · 89¢ → 90¢
• Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No · $6 · 34¢ → 98¢
• No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027No · $5 · 86¢ → 70¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $3 · 63¢ → 95¢
• Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Yes · $2 · 64¢ → 80¢
• No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes · $2 · 14¢ → 31¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2 · 6¢ → 13¢
• Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $1 · 82¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes · $1 · 89¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No · -$0 · Jul 9, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No · +$1 · May 27, 2026
• Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No · -$10 · May 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.