Imaginative-Sonnet · Polymarket wallet 0xf2a4…d354

Wallet snapshot

Imaginative-Sonnet has made 60 trades on Polymarket across 21 markets, $404 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%). On 13 resolved markets the win rate is 84.6%, lifetime P&L -$3. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?No · $25 · 52¢ → 86¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No · $12 · 33¢ → 99¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No · $11 · 23¢ → 74¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?No · $6 · 63¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No · +$17 · Oct 23, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No · +$11 · Oct 22, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No · +$4 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · -$0 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?No · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 16?Yes · +$1 · Aug 16, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No · +$4 · Jun 1, 2026

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