panflash · Polymarket wallet 0xf1f4…cd2e

Wallet snapshot

panflash has made 380 trades on Polymarket across 66 markets, $37K in volume. Most of it is in sports (41%) and geopolitics (18%). On 56 resolved markets the win rate is 60.7%, lifetime P&L +$2,853. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $2,999 · 94¢ → 100¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $2,036 · 81¢ → 89¢
• Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No · $602 · 87¢ → 91¢
• Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No · $530 · 87¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · $163 · 42¢ → 33¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $96 · 14¢ → 10¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $81 · 48¢ → 40¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?No · $66 · 75¢ → 82¢
• Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?Yes · $22 · 65¢ → 11¢
• Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes · $5 · 55¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$449 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Yes · +$28 · Sep 19, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$92 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?No · +$6 · Sep 16, 2026
• LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No · +$94 · Sep 10, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$724 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.