Grimy-Guinea · Polymarket wallet 0xf09d…ea41

Wallet snapshot

Grimy-Guinea has made 129 trades on Polymarket across 100 markets, $697 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and politics (20%). On 87 resolved markets the win rate is 92%, lifetime P&L +$39. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "AI bubble burst in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• AI bubble burst in 2026?No · $30 · 93¢ → 93¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes · $17 · 80¢ → 69¢
• Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes · $12 · 85¢ → 99¢
• Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes · $10 · 81¢ → 81¢
• Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No · $10 · 71¢ → 100¢
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Yes · $10 · 78¢ → 78¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $9 · 90¢ → 95¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $9 · 78¢ → 93¢
• 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes · $4 · 52¢ → 20¢
• Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes · $3 · 25¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes · +$1 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes · +$3 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes · -$2 · Aug 2, 2026
• Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 2, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

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