Surprised-Ruckus · Polymarket wallet 0xef93…f3c8

Wallet snapshot

Surprised-Ruckus has made 250 trades on Polymarket across 129 markets, $444 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and sports (26%). On 111 resolved markets the win rate is 60.4%, lifetime P&L -$16. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Yes · $3 · 64¢ → 61¢
• Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Yes · $2 · 41¢ → 41¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $2 · 64¢ → 62¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Yes · -$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes · -$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes · -$2 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 29, 2026
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?No · -$1 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?Yes · +$0 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes · +$1 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?No · -$0 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes · -$3 · Sep 27, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.