Surprised-Ruckus · Polymarket wallet 0xef93…f3c8

Wallet snapshot

Surprised-Ruckus has made 250 trades on Polymarket across 129 markets, $444 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and sports (26%). On 111 resolved markets the win rate is 60.4%, lifetime P&L -$12. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?No · $4 · 45¢ → 60¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $2 · 64¢ → 62¢
• U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No · $1 · 86¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Yes · -$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$2 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes · -$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes · -$2 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 29, 2026
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?No · -$1 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?Yes · +$0 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes · +$1 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?No · -$0 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes · -$3 · Sep 27, 2026

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