brk2016 · Polymarket wallet 0xeb89…9469

Wallet snapshot

brk2016 has made 1,009 trades on Polymarket across 160 markets, $39K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (94%). On 141 resolved markets the win rate is 56.7%, lifetime P&L +$2,164. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No · $2,859 · 71¢ → 89¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $2,419 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $254 · 84¢ → 85¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $209 · 62¢ → 70¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $172 · 40¢ → 45¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $113 · 62¢ → 56¢
• Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $32 · 1¢ → 1¢
• Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $2 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $1 · 0¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$107 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · -$1 · Sep 17, 2026
• Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No · +$33 · Aug 3, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No · -$9 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No · +$50 · Jul 27, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No · +$50 · Jul 25, 2026
• Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.