Classic-Confusion · Polymarket wallet 0xeb6a…f15b

Wallet snapshot

Classic-Confusion has made 109 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $5,099 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (38%) and geopolitics (21%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$41. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No · $112 · 80¢ → 92¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $1 · 35¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$4 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$8 · Jul 21, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$11 · Jul 9, 2026
• Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No · +$2 · Jun 11, 2026
• Will Walmart acquire TikTok?No · -$0 · Jun 11, 2026
• Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$21 · Jun 11, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No · -$55 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No · -$2 · May 23, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?No · +$12 · May 20, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No · +$0 · May 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.