0870 · Polymarket wallet 0xe808…062a

Wallet snapshot

0870 has made 190 trades on Polymarket across 46 markets, $67K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (50%) and crypto (28%). On 42 resolved markets the win rate is 81%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $176 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No · $15 · 94¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$5 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No · +$2 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$1 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No · +$2 · Jun 23, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No · +$2 · Jun 23, 2026
• Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?No · +$0 · Apr 7, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Apr 7, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$1 · Apr 7, 2026
• EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No · +$2 · Apr 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.