mtronin · Polymarket wallet 0xe78d…63fb

Wallet snapshot

mtronin has made 158 trades on Polymarket across 106 markets, $738 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (37%) and sports (14%). On 105 resolved markets the win rate is 79%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Dec 8, 2025.

Largest open positions

• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $10 · 94¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No · +$0 · May 4, 2026
• US stagflation in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 9, 2026
• Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 2, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?No · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.