Standard-Waterbed · Polymarket wallet 0xe60b…098c

Wallet snapshot

Standard-Waterbed has made 120 trades on Polymarket across 37 markets, $1,843 in volume. Most of it is in sports (62%) and geopolitics (8%). On 33 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US recession by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jan 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US recession by end of 2026?No · $130 · 69¢ → 93¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $117 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No · $113 · 86¢ → 97¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $98 · 88¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETNo · +$4 · Jan 11, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No · -$29 · Jan 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETYes · +$4 · Jan 10, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETYes · +$2 · Jan 10, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETYes · -$6 · Jan 10, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETNo · +$3 · Jan 10, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETYes · +$41 · Jan 8, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETNo · -$20 · Jan 6, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETNo · +$13 · Jan 6, 2026
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$4 · Jan 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.