OptimisticAndLucky · Polymarket wallet 0xe567…3e44

Wallet snapshot

OptimisticAndLucky has made 202 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $21K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (89%). On 23 resolved markets the win rate is 60.9%, lifetime P&L +$220. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Jul 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $1,232 · 50¢ → 48¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · -$763 · Jul 17, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes · +$51 · Jul 1, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes · +$439 · Mar 1, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes · +$914 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · -$4 · Jan 3, 2026
• Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?No · +$14 · Jan 1, 2026
• Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?No · -$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?No · -$8 · Jan 1, 2026
• IDF Chief Eyal  Zamir out by December 31, 2025?No · -$4 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes · +$2 · Dec 31, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.