Polymarket wallet 0xe420…74cd

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xe420…74cd has made 217 trades on Polymarket across 12 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in sports (58%) and crypto (17%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$1,626. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Jan 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $440 · 48¢ → 52¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $413 · 54¢ → 48¢

Latest closed positions

• Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?No · +$1,844 · Apr 1, 2026
• Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No · -$12 · Jan 28, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No · -$28 · Jan 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2AM ETYes · $0 · Dec 21, 2025
• Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2AM ETNo · -$50 · Dec 21, 2025
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · -$13 · Dec 20, 2025
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · -$60 · Dec 20, 2025
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · -$4 · Dec 19, 2025
• Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETNo · +$10 · Dec 19, 2025
• Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETNo · +$20 · Dec 19, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.