Polymarket wallet 0xe40a…db2b

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xe40a…db2b has made 2,018 trades on Polymarket across 472 markets, $8,612 in volume. Most of it is in sports (84%). On 450 resolved markets the win rate is 66.4%. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $2 · 82¢ → 82¢
• Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?No · $2 · 50¢ → 81¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $1 · 15¢ → 13¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No · $1 · 50¢ → 26¢
• Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes · $0 · 50¢ → 20¢
• Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes · $0 · 50¢ → 63¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $0 · 50¢ → 42¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?No · -$2 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.