longduan · Polymarket wallet 0xe3ad…bb58

Wallet snapshot

longduan has made 1,331 trades on Polymarket across 274 markets, $622K in volume. Most of it is in sports (34%) and crypto (19%). On 269 resolved markets the win rate is 72.9%, lifetime P&L +$222. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Trump out as President before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $96 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $54 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $33 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $15 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes · $0 · 5¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Trump out as President by August 31?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No · +$0 · Aug 31, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.