jan - 6514 · Polymarket wallet 0xdfe7…7c84

Wallet snapshot

jan - 6514 has made 152 trades on Polymarket across 100 markets, $2,552 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (27%) and politics (23%). On 94 resolved markets the win rate is 56.4%. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Feb 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 84¢ → 28¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes · $3 · 22¢ → 3¢
• Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes · $2 · 43¢ → 19¢
• Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes · $1 · 9¢ → 3¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes · $1 · 17¢ → 2¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $1 · 12¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes · +$2 · May 15, 2026
• Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?No · +$1 · May 15, 2026
• Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes · +$4 · Feb 23, 2026
• Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes · +$1 · Feb 23, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?Yes · +$16 · Feb 6, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No · +$1 · Feb 6, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.