ashen-tumble · Polymarket wallet 0xdf85…6cb5

Wallet snapshot

ashen-tumble has made 83 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $3,472 in volume. Most of it is in sports (54%) and geopolitics (23%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 70%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?". Last trade: Jul 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No · $1,103 · 57¢ → 94¢
• Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes · $71 · 67¢ → 6¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $12 · 18¢ → 15¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETNo · +$7 · Jul 18, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETYes · +$17 · Jul 15, 2026
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · +$33 · Jul 14, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETYes · -$142 · Apr 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETYes · +$10 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes · -$30 · Apr 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETNo · +$41 · Mar 31, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETNo · +$2 · Mar 31, 2026
• Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No · $0 · Mar 31, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETNo · +$21 · Mar 28, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.