518518 · Polymarket wallet 0xd983…78da

Wallet snapshot

518518 has made 225 trades on Polymarket across 105 markets, $22K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (31%) and politics (30%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 93.6%, lifetime P&L +$570. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?". Last trade: Oct 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?No · $15 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $13 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?No · $10 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $10 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $0 · 97¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No · +$0 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.