Sturdy-Organizer · Polymarket wallet 0xd953…885f

Wallet snapshot

Sturdy-Organizer has made 85 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $28K in volume. Most of it is in politics (30%) and crypto (17%). On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 77.3%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?". Last trade: Jun 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $2,064 · 87¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jun 18, 2026
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No · +$6 · Jun 4, 2026
• Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes · +$17 · May 26, 2026
• Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes · +$15 · May 26, 2026
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No · +$137 · Dec 30, 2025
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No · +$60 · Dec 30, 2025
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes · +$481 · Nov 5, 2025
• Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No · +$5 · Oct 16, 2025
• Will Biden finish his term?Yes · +$788 · Jan 20, 2025
• Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?Yes · +$99 · Dec 31, 2024

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.