afeffasa · Polymarket wallet 0xd873…18a9

Wallet snapshot

afeffasa has made 217 trades on Polymarket across 20 markets, $4,285 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (60%) and geopolitics (5%). On 13 resolved markets the win rate is 100%, lifetime P&L +$120. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?Yes · $190 · 52¢ → 95¢
• Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the February meeting?Yes · $33 · 62¢ → 57¢
• Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the February meeting?No · $24 · 48¢ → 43¢
• Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?No · $10 · 47¢ → 5¢
• Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Yes · $6 · 58¢ → 67¢
• Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?No · $3 · 28¢ → 33¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?No · +$26 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?No · +$2 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting?No · -$7 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$41 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the February meeting?Yes · +$15 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?No · +$21 · Nov 10, 2026

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