Vivid-Downstairs · Polymarket wallet 0xd809…7785

Wallet snapshot

Vivid-Downstairs has made 142 trades on Polymarket across 66 markets, $1,879 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (89%). On 51 resolved markets the win rate is 74.5%, lifetime P&L +$42. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No · $81 · 87¢ → 90¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $62 · 87¢ → 89¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No · $32 · 77¢ → 81¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?No · $27 · 91¢ → 89¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No · $24 · 70¢ → 80¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No · $16 · 82¢ → 82¢
• Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?No · $14 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No · $14 · 79¢ → 93¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $9 · 84¢ → 95¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $9 · 87¢ → 87¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$14 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$23 · Jul 12, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$13 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No · +$4 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 2, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No · +$11 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$4 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.