Polymarket wallet 0xd4d9…1b46

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xd4d9…1b46 has made 254 trades on Polymarket across 125 markets, $263 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and politics (11%). On 114 resolved markets the win rate is 59.6%, lifetime P&L +$12. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026?No · $2 · 45¢ → 100¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?Yes · $2 · 40¢ → 76¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 78¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No · $1 · 77¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?Yes · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?No · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $57 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026

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