Marmonday · Polymarket wallet 0xd3a3…58d3

Wallet snapshot

Marmonday has made 308 trades on Polymarket across 83 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in sports (87%) and geopolitics (13%). On 80 resolved markets the win rate is 56.3%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Feb 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $4 · 33¢ → 14¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes · $1 · 16¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes · +$14 · Apr 10, 2026
• Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?Yes · +$41 · Mar 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETYes · +$11 · Feb 28, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes · +$13 · Feb 28, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETNo · +$10 · Feb 28, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETNo · +$13 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes · +$151 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes · +$14 · Feb 28, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETYes · +$16 · Feb 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETYes · +$16 · Feb 21, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.