Cholmley · Polymarket wallet 0xd398…990c

Wallet snapshot

Cholmley has made 46 trades on Polymarket across 20 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (50%) and sports (35%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$92. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $5 · 96¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No · -$16 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Aug 2, 2026
• IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?No · +$0 · Jul 8, 2026
• Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)No · +$23 · May 26, 2026
• Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No · $0 · May 23, 2026
• Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)No · +$26 · May 23, 2026
• Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?No · -$2 · May 22, 2026
• Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)No · +$41 · May 22, 2026
• Will Venezuela become 51st state?No · -$1 · May 21, 2026

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