p5rlmarjorie · Polymarket wallet 0xd2a9…f275

Wallet snapshot

p5rlmarjorie has made 185 trades on Polymarket across 52 markets, $73K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (31%) and geopolitics (29%). On 43 resolved markets the win rate is 81.4%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No · $5 · 90¢ → 98¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $2 · 95¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?No · -$1 · Sep 12, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Aug 19, 2026
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 13, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No · -$4 · Jul 21, 2026
• Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?No · -$5 · Jul 21, 2026
• Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?No · -$5 · Jul 21, 2026
• Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• French election called by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026

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