muchuan · Polymarket wallet 0xd024…527e

Wallet snapshot

muchuan has made 519 trades on Polymarket across 86 markets, $36K in volume. Most of it is in sports (20%) and geopolitics (17%). On 75 resolved markets the win rate is 62.7%, lifetime P&L +$519. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No · $41 · 78¢ → 83¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes · $32 · 23¢ → 14¢
• AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes · $27 · 21¢ → 9¢
• Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes · $10 · 10¢ → 5¢
• Will Ariana Grande be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes · $6 · 1¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No · +$10 · Aug 31, 2026
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · +$4 · Aug 26, 2026
• Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?Yes · +$10 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes · -$5 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?Yes · -$1 · Aug 19, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes · +$86 · Aug 19, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.