Polymarket wallet 0xcf5c…18d4

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xcf5c…18d4 has made 166 trades on Polymarket across 165 markets, $226 in volume. Most of it is in sports (37%) and economics (8%). On 161 resolved markets the win rate is 59%, lifetime P&L +$8. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?Yes · $1 · 45¢ → 55¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · $1 · 26¢ → 27¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · $1 · 39¢ → 38¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes · $0 · 80¢ → 33¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · +$0 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Yes · -$1 · Nov 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No · +$0 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 7, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?No · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?No · -$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · -$1 · Nov 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.