StardewValley · Polymarket wallet 0xcaab…6d0d

Wallet snapshot

StardewValley has made 7,154 trades on Polymarket across 595 markets, $174K in volume. Most of it is in politics (26%) and geopolitics (17%). On 589 resolved markets the win rate is 84.7%, lifetime P&L +$836. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Feb 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $83 · 87¢ → 85¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes · +$0 · May 17, 2026
• Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No · +$1 · May 16, 2026
• Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No · +$1 · May 2, 2026
• Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No · -$1 · Apr 17, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No · +$0 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No · -$4 · Mar 4, 2026
• Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No · +$0 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?No · +$1 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No · +$3 · Mar 1, 2026
• Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No · +$0 · Mar 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.