ManyCZ · Polymarket wallet 0xc9eb…90a5

Wallet snapshot

ManyCZ has made 58 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $421 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (23%) and economics (9%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 80%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?No · $18 · 88¢ → 80¢
• Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $10 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes · $10 · 89¢ → 90¢
• Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $9 · 58¢ → 54¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes · $9 · 96¢ → 87¢
• Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes · $9 · 88¢ → 80¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No · $9 · 81¢ → 70¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes · $8 · 89¢ → 67¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026?No · $4 · 65¢ → 57¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · -$4 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?No · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Yes · -$5 · Oct 12, 2026
• US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No · +$3 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?Yes · +$3 · Oct 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.