Polymarket wallet 0xc512…511e

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xc512…511e has made 143 trades on Polymarket across 77 markets, $234 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (18%) and economics (10%). On 69 resolved markets the win rate is 55.1%, lifetime P&L -$0. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No · $1 · 53¢ → 59¢
• Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?No · $1 · 63¢ → 63¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes · $1 · 67¢ → 62¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?No · $1 · 28¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?No · +$2 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $57 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$4 · Oct 15, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?Yes · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.