Gagulik-101 · Polymarket wallet 0xbb9b…4494

Wallet snapshot

Gagulik-101 has made 183 trades on Polymarket across 102 markets, $26K in volume. Most of it is in sports (55%) and politics (11%). On 96 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L -$1,960. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No · $2 · 94¢ → 99¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $1 · 91¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$1 · Sep 17, 2026
• AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes · -$0 · Sep 2, 2026
• US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio CobolliNo · +$1 · Sep 1, 2026
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Yes · +$0 · Aug 25, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes · +$0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-31?Yes · +$1 · Jul 31, 2026
• Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena FrechYes · +$1 · Jun 22, 2026
• Spurs vs. ThunderNo · +$1 · Jun 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.