Calm-Raffle · Polymarket wallet 0xb98d…e72f

Wallet snapshot

Calm-Raffle has made 48 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $149 in volume. Most of it is in sports (64%) and crypto (9%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$12. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes · $4 · 1¢ → 2¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No · $2 · 29¢ → 62¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?No · $2 · 10¢ → 18¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $2 · 29¢ → 23¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Yes · $1 · 14¢ → 17¢
• Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No · $1 · 24¢ → 20¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $1 · 1¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETNo · +$3 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?Yes · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETNo · +$4 · Jun 1, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4AM ETYes · -$2 · May 30, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4AM ETNo · +$3 · May 30, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ETYes · +$0 · May 30, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETNo · -$0 · May 30, 2026

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