M.elena678 · Polymarket wallet 0xb5d8…af42

Wallet snapshot

M.elena678 has made 2,366 trades on Polymarket across 706 markets, $26K in volume. Most of it is in sports (19%) and geopolitics (17%). On 497 resolved markets the win rate is 63.2%, lifetime P&L -$204. It holds 61 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No · $82 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No · $54 · 91¢ → 92¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $45 · 90¢ → 83¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No · $31 · 84¢ → 81¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes · $30 · 67¢ → 56¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?No · $26 · 68¢ → 56¢
• Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $26 · 86¢ → 89¢
• Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No · $24 · 76¢ → 85¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes · $22 · 82¢ → 76¢
• Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?No · $21 · 76¢ → 83¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?No · -$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes · +$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?No · +$3 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes · +$5 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?No · -$3 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?No · +$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.