Polymarket wallet 0xb578…018a

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xb578…018a has made 309 trades on Polymarket across 153 markets, $445 in volume. Most of it is in sports (61%) and geopolitics (9%). On 143 resolved markets the win rate is 55.9%, lifetime P&L +$12. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US strike on Colombia by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US strike on Colombia by December 31?No · $2 · 80¢ → 78¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?Yes · $2 · 24¢ → 53¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · $1 · 56¢ → 71¢
• Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?Yes · $1 · 55¢ → 65¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?No · $1 · 64¢ → 67¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 67¢ → 67¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes · $1 · 48¢ → 48¢
• Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?No · $1 · 68¢ → 59¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes · $0 · 32¢ → 16¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?Yes · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?No · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5No · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?No · -$1 · Oct 7, 2026

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