Polymarket wallet 0xb4fc…9fcf

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xb4fc…9fcf has made 177 trades on Polymarket across 100 markets, $244 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (14%) and economics (11%). On 83 resolved markets the win rate is 56.6%, lifetime P&L +$13. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 100¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 69¢ → 84¢
• Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of October 12 2026?No · $1 · 70¢ → 85¢
• Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September?No · $1 · 70¢ → 76¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?No · $1 · 59¢ → 59¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?Yes · $1 · 40¢ → 40¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · $1 · 68¢ → 67¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?No · $1 · 53¢ → 52¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?No · $1 · 64¢ → 59¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?No · $1 · 78¢ → 53¢

Latest closed positions

• Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?Yes · +$2 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?No · -$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.