napuk · Polymarket wallet 0xb464…9cda

Wallet snapshot

napuk has made 1,047 trades on Polymarket across 206 markets, $21K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (88%) and politics (6%). On 163 resolved markets the win rate is 55.2%, lifetime P&L +$887. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?". Last trade: Nov 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $405 · 11¢ → 14¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?Yes · $68 · 5¢ → 5¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November?Yes · $60 · 65¢ → 60¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes · $58 · 8¢ → 12¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes · $32 · 12¢ → 11¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · $25 · 3¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETNo · +$15 · Nov 8, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETYes · -$15 · Nov 8, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETNo · +$17 · Nov 8, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETYes · -$16 · Nov 8, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETYes · +$18 · Nov 8, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETNo · +$8 · Nov 8, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETNo · +$52 · Nov 8, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.