areola · Polymarket wallet 0xafae…4b33

Wallet snapshot

areola has made 131 trades on Polymarket across 47 markets, $8,168 in volume. Most of it is in sports (32%) and politics (19%). On 33 resolved markets the win rate is 81.8%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No · $49 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $42 · 97¢ → 90¢
• Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No · $1 · 97¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 7, 2026
• Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?No · +$2 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No · +$0 · Aug 17, 2026
• Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 4, 2026
• Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 11, 2026
• Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes · +$4 · Jul 9, 2026
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · +$0 · Jul 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.